SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Freiburg |
56.89% ( 0.66) | 22.38% ( -0.45) | 20.73% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.88% ( 1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.92% ( 1.71) | 44.08% ( -1.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.54% ( 1.65) | 66.46% ( -1.65) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( 0.82) | 15.27% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.02% ( 1.51) | 43.97% ( -1.52) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.78% ( 0.77) | 35.22% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.02% ( 0.79) | 71.98% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.61% Total : 56.89% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.41)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 20.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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