We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Freiburg
Bayern appeared to be back to their dominant best against Dortmund, with Tuchel's superior experience compared to his predecessor potentially set to take them over the line on both domestic fronts.
Freiburg have been pushed to the limit by their exertions in three competitions this season, and they have struggled to turn draws into victories of late, but they are unlikely to get close to having the chance to achieve that on Tuesday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
67.06% ( -0) | 17.52% | 15.41% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 61.88% ( 0) |
| 48.66% ( 0) | 51.34% ( -0) |
| 91.66% ( -0) | 8.34% ( 0) |
