SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 88.63%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 3.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.19%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Augsburg |
88.63% ( -0.81) | 7.5% ( 0.51) | 3.86% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.73% ( -1.32) | 17.26% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 65.91% ( -2.01) | 34.08% ( 2.01) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.6% ( -0.27) | 2.39% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 88.66% ( -1.02) | 11.33% ( 1.01) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54% ( -0.18) | 45.99% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.28% ( -0.14) | 81.71% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Augsburg |
| 3-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.32)5-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.2)6-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.28)1-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.36)6-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.22)5-2 @ 2% ( -0.09)7-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.18)6-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.1)8-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.14)Other @ 5.23% Total : 88.63% | 1-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.9% Total : 7.5% | 1-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.62% Total : 3.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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