SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
37.18% ( 0) | 26.08% ( 0.02) | 36.75% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.98% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.5% ( -0.09) | 50.5% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.57% ( -0.08) | 72.43% ( 0.08) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( -0.04) | 26.41% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.43% ( -0.06) | 61.57% ( 0.06) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -0.06) | 26.65% ( 0.06) |
