SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 68.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Augsburg |
68.2% ( 0.24) | 17.33% ( -0.07) | 14.47% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 60.04% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.68% ( -0.01) | 31.32% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.24% ( -0.01) | 52.76% ( 0.01) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.59% ( 0.05) | 8.41% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.77% ( 0.12) | 29.23% ( -0.12) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( -0.22) | 34.44% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.84% ( -0.23) | 71.15% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.58% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 68.2% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.33% | 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 14.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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