SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
32.69% ( -0.1) | 25.93% ( -0.02) | 41.37% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.53% ( 0.07) | 50.46% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% ( 0.06) | 72.39% ( -0.06) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( -0.04) | 29.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.96% ( -0.05) | 65.04% ( 0.04) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( 0.09) | 24.14% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.54% ( 0.13) | 58.45% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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