Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wolfsburg in this match.
