SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Wolfsburg |
45.74% ( -0.68) | 24.39% ( 0.11) | 29.87% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 57.64% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.16% ( -0.19) | 44.84% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.8% ( -0.19) | 67.2% ( 0.19) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% ( -0.36) | 19.73% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.25% ( -0.59) | 51.75% ( 0.59) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( 0.29) | 28.19% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.12% ( 0.37) | 63.88% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 45.74% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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