SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Schalke 04 |
35.29% ( 0.07) | 25.76% ( 0.04) | 38.95% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( -0.18) | 49.19% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.74% ( -0.16) | 71.25% ( 0.16) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( -0.04) | 26.88% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.8% ( -0.05) | 62.19% ( 0.05) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% ( -0.15) | 24.83% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.58% ( -0.2) | 59.41% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.29% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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