SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | FC Koln |
47.41% ( -0.03) | 23.49% ( -0.01) | 29.1% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.27% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.84% ( 0.06) | 41.16% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.44% ( 0.06) | 63.55% ( -0.06) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( 0.01) | 17.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.82% ( 0.03) | 48.17% ( -0.03) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( 0.06) | 26.85% ( -0.06) |
