SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
31.37% ( 0.99) | 27.91% ( -0.05) | 40.72% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 47.29% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.48% ( 0.47) | 58.53% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.9% ( 0.37) | 79.1% ( -0.36) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( 0.98) | 34.13% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.18% ( 1.04) | 70.82% ( -1.04) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.8% ( -0.29) | 28.2% ( 0.3) |
