SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin |
49.04% ( -0.56) | 24.51% ( 0.32) | 26.46% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 54.74% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.48% ( -1.16) | 47.52% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.27% ( -1.08) | 69.73% ( 1.09) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% ( -0.68) | 19.43% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.74% ( -1.13) | 51.26% ( 1.13) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.94% ( -0.41) | 32.07% ( 0.42) |
