We said: Union SG 1-2 Union Berlin
With both clubs on the cusp of reaching the quarter-finals of European competition for the first time in their history, this is set to be a fiercely-contested second leg.
As last week's tie in Germany proved, Union Berlin are a team who never seem to know when they are beaten, and we can envisage them progressing to the last eight with a tight away victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result |
| Union SG | Draw | Union Berlin |
53.22% ( 0) | 24.19% | 22.59% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0) |
