SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Union Berlin |
42.58% ( -0.08) | 22.77% ( -0.01) | 34.65% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 65.71% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.84% ( 0.08) | 35.16% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.83% ( 0.09) | 57.17% ( -0.09) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( 0) | 17.13% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.65% | 47.35% ( -0) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( 0.09) | 20.7% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.69% ( 0.13) | 53.31% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 34.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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