SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
53.46% ( 1.96) | 24.62% ( -0.09) | 21.92% ( -1.87) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( -1.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.98% ( -1.45) | 52.02% ( 1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.25% ( -1.27) | 73.75% ( 1.26) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.59% ( 0.22) | 19.41% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.77% ( 0.35) | 51.23% ( -0.35) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% ( -2.57) | 38.54% ( 2.57) |
