Should Fischer significantly rotate his starting XI, which would not be surprising given that they are competing on three fronts this season, Heidenheim may push their opponents all of the way.
However, Union Berlin generally remain defensively resolute regardless of the personnel within their back five, and we expect no different on Wednesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
-0.07) 
0.12) 
