SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Heidenheim | 6 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Heidenheim | 6 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 6 | 3 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
39.54% ( -0.02) | 25.89% ( 0) | 34.56% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.11% ( -0.02) | 49.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.11% ( -0.02) | 71.88% ( 0.02) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( -0.02) | 24.83% ( 0.02) |
