SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Nuremberg | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Jahn Regensburg | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | SV Sandhausen | 5 | -1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Jahn Regensburg win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
52.04% ( 0.19) | 24.3% ( -0.07) | 23.66% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.59% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.98% ( 0.18) | 49.01% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.9% ( 0.16) | 71.09% ( -0.16) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( 0.14) | 18.81% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.76% ( 0.24) | 50.24% ( -0.24) |
| Jahn Regensburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.77% ( -0.02) | 35.22% ( 0.01) |
