SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | St Pauli | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | SC Paderborn | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Hamburger SV | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Jahn Regensburg | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fortuna Dusseldorf in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | SC Paderborn |
48.56% ( 1.63) | 23.86% ( 0.01) | 27.58% ( -1.63) |
| Both teams to score 57.84% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.14% ( -1.1) | 43.86% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.75% ( -1.08) | 66.25% ( 1.09) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.81% ( 0.22) | 18.19% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.8% ( 0.37) | 49.2% ( -0.36) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( -1.71) | 29.3% ( 1.72) |
