SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Union Berlin |
33.02% ( -0.19) | 25.45% ( -0.06) | 41.53% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.48% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.69% ( 0.22) | 48.3% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.55% ( 0.2) | 70.45% ( -0.2) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( -0.01) | 27.84% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.56% ( -0.01) | 63.44% ( 0.01) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( 0.22) | 23.11% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.03% ( 0.32) | 56.96% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.02% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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