SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Hannover | 9 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Heidenheim | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | -3 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
44.66% ( 0.38) | 25.07% ( -0.01) | 30.27% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.37% ( -0.1) | 47.63% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.17% ( -0.09) | 69.83% ( 0.09) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% ( 0.13) | 21.35% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.68% ( 0.21) | 54.31% ( -0.2) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( -0.3) | 29.31% ( 0.3) |
