SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | St Pauli | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Kaiserslautern | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Nuremberg | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Hansa Rostock | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | St Pauli | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Kaiserslautern | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | St Pauli |
37.25% ( 0.18) | 25.22% ( -0.03) | 37.52% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.97% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( 0.14) | 46.67% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.06% ( 0.13) | 68.94% ( -0.13) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( 0.17) | 24.59% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.91% ( 0.23) | 59.09% ( -0.22) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% ( -0.02) | 24.45% ( 0.02) |
