SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Hannover | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Magdeburg | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Jahn Regensburg | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | St Pauli | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hannover | Draw | St Pauli |
38.2% ( 0.1) | 25.82% ( 0.09) | 35.97% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.8% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.57% ( -0.39) | 49.42% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.53% ( -0.35) | 71.47% ( 0.35) |
| Hannover Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( -0.12) | 25.34% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.87% ( -0.17) | 60.12% ( 0.17) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( -0.29) | 26.59% ( 0.3) |
