SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
36.87% ( -0.43) | 26.28% ( 0.1) | 36.86% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% ( -0.41) | 51.36% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% ( -0.36) | 73.18% ( 0.36) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0.44) | 26.99% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.66% ( -0.58) | 62.34% ( 0.59) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( 0.01) | 26.99% ( -0) |
