SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Union SG |
51.4% ( -0.02) | 23.66% ( 0.01) | 24.95% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.09% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.94% ( -0.02) | 45.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.59% ( -0.02) | 67.41% ( 0.02) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% ( -0.02) | 17.56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.89% ( -0.03) | 48.11% ( 0.03) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% | 31.96% ( 0) |
