SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Union SG |
42.29% ( 0.06) | 25.3% ( 0.05) | 32.41% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.18% ( -0.25) | 47.82% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% ( -0.24) | 70.01% ( 0.24) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( -0.08) | 22.54% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.89% ( -0.12) | 56.11% ( 0.12) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -0.19) | 27.99% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.37% ( -0.25) | 63.64% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.29% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 75 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 75 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 72 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 59 |
| 5 | GentGent | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 56 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | Leuven | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | CharleroiCharleroi | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 48 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 46 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 42 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 31 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 28 |
| R | Zulte WaregemZulte | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 50 | 78 | -28 | 27 |
| R | KV OostendeOostende | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 76 | -39 | 27 |
| R | RFC Seraing | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 68 | -40 | 20 |
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