SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
29.94% ( -0.21) | 23.89% ( -0.02) | 46.16% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 59.44% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.49% ( -0.04) | 42.5% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.09% ( -0.04) | 64.91% ( 0.03) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( -0.16) | 26.96% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.69% ( -0.2) | 62.3% ( 0.2) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( 0.08) | 18.62% ( -0.08) |
