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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 74.22%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 11.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 3-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
74.22% ( 0.07) | 14.77% ( 0.11) | 11.01% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 59.29% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.59% ( -1.16) | 27.41% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.99% ( -1.47) | 48% ( 1.47) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.71% ( -0.24) | 6.29% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.31% ( -0.68) | 23.68% ( 0.68) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.26% ( -1.17) | 36.73% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.48% ( -1.19) | 73.52% ( 1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.24)1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 3.12% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.14)5-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.1)6-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.99% Total : 74.22% | 1-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.26% Total : 14.77% | 1-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.78% Total : 11.01% |
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