Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.22%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Adelaide United |
50.35% (![]() | 20.46% (![]() | 29.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 71.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.85% (![]() | 26.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.59% (![]() | 46.4% (![]() |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.86% (![]() | 11.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.42% (![]() | 35.57% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% (![]() | 19.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.14% (![]() | 50.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 8.5% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.42% Total : 50.35% | 1-1 @ 7.74% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.46% | 1-2 @ 6.39% (![]() 2-3 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.16% Total : 29.19% |
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