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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.22%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Adelaide United |
50.35% ( -0.44) | 20.46% ( 0.18) | 29.19% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 71.82% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.85% ( -0.73) | 26.15% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.59% ( -0.94) | 46.4% ( 0.93) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.86% ( -0.38) | 11.13% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.42% ( -0.82) | 35.57% ( 0.81) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( -0.25) | 19.18% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.14% ( -0.4) | 50.86% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.42% Total : 50.35% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.46% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.16% Total : 29.19% |
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