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Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Feb 1, 2025 at 6am UK
Sydney Football Stadium
AU

Sydney FC
4 - 1
Adelaide United

Lolley (36'), Klimala (46'), Segecic (75'), Caceres (83')
De Jesus (18'), Grant (56'), Courtney-Perkins (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pierias (49')
Barnett (57')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 2-0 Sydney FC
Friday, January 24 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-2 Auckland FC
Wednesday, January 22 at 8.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.22%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FCDrawAdelaide United
50.35% (-0.444 -0.44) 20.46% (0.181 0.18) 29.19% (0.253 0.25)
Both teams to score 71.82% (-0.51599999999999 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.85% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)26.15% (0.722 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.59% (-0.939 -0.94)46.4% (0.93 0.93)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.86% (-0.37700000000001 -0.38)11.13% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.42% (-0.824 -0.82)35.57% (0.814 0.81)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (-0.245 -0.25)19.18% (0.237 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.14% (-0.4 -0.4)50.86% (0.38999999999999 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 50.35%
    Adelaide United 29.19%
    Draw 20.46%
Sydney FCDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.15% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 5.13% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-0 @ 4.69% (0.143 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.82% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.057 -0.06)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 50.35%
1-1 @ 7.74% (0.179 0.18)
2-2 @ 7.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.83% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 2.14% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.46%
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.101 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.53% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-4 @ 1.17% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 29.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Victory 2-0 Sydney FC
Friday, January 24 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-4 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, January 18 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 0-0 Sydney FC
Wednesday, January 15 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 4-1 Central Coast
Saturday, January 11 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-0 Perth Glory
Wednesday, January 8 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 4 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-2 Auckland FC
Wednesday, January 22 at 8.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-2 Victory
Saturday, January 18 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-2 Adelaide United
Saturday, January 11 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Adelaide United
Monday, January 6 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-3 Western Sydney
Friday, December 27 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-3 Sydney FC
Friday, December 20 at 8.35am in Australian A-League


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