SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| 5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.27%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 21.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 58.27% | 20.66% | 21.07% |
| Both teams to score 61.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.38% | 35.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.32% | 57.67% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.93% | 12.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.4% | 37.59% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% | 30.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.81% | 66.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% 2-0 @ 8.11% 1-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 6.87% 3-0 @ 5.72% 3-2 @ 4.13% 4-1 @ 3.63% 4-0 @ 3.02% 4-2 @ 2.18% 5-1 @ 1.54% 5-0 @ 1.28% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.45% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 3.63% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 5.54% 0-1 @ 4.36% 0-2 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.92% Total : 21.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 79 |
| 2 | Lazio | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 61 |
| 3 | Juventus | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 60 |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 32 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 57 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 57 |
| 6 | Roma | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 55 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 45 |
| 9 | Bologna | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Monza | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 43 |
| 12 | Udinese | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 34 |
| 15 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 32 |
| 16 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 27 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 27 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 32 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 20 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 17 |
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