SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | AC Milan |
26.61% ( 1.07) | 22.77% ( 0.28) | 50.62% ( -1.35) |
| Both teams to score 60.8% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.43% ( -0.36) | 39.57% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.08% ( -0.37) | 61.92% ( 0.36) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( 0.61) | 27.77% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.65% ( 0.77) | 63.35% ( -0.78) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( -0.6) | 15.82% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.01% ( -1.11) | 44.99% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.61% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.68% Total : 50.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 33 | 53 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
| 3 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 38 |
| 4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 38 |
| 6 | Roma | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 37 |
| 7 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
| 8 | Torino | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bologna | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
| 10 | Empoli | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
| 11 | Monza | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Juventus | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 23 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 21 |
| 15 | Lecce | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
| 16 | SassuoloSassuolo | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 20 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 18 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 9 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 20 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 8 |
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