Over the past two months, Cagliari have been made of sterner stuff, so will be no pushover for hit-and-miss Lazio when the teams convene on Saturday.
Precedent suggests that the visitors should add another win to their long list of successes over the Isolani, but a combination of grit and organisation can see the home side take another valuable point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
