Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
