SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Famalicao | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| 18 | Maritimo | 4 | -11 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Maritimo |
54.34% ( -0.98) | 24.44% ( 0.24) | 21.22% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.94% ( -0.1) | 52.06% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.21% ( -0.08) | 73.79% ( 0.08) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( -0.41) | 19.08% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.31% ( -0.69) | 50.69% ( 0.69) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.73% ( 0.72) | 39.27% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.03% ( 0.66) | 75.97% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.24)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 54.33% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.41% Total : 21.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 59 |
| 2 | Porto | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 48 | 12 | 36 | 51 |
| 3 | Braga | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 49 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 41 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 34 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 33 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 32 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Vizela | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | ChavesChaves | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 26 |
| 13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 15 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 12 |
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