SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.04%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 6.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
82.04% ( -1.25) | 11.7% ( 0.7) | 6.27% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 48.72% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.81% ( -1.23) | 29.18% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.8% ( -1.51) | 50.2% ( 1.51) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.71% ( -0.44) | 5.29% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 79.17% ( -1.31) | 20.83% ( 1.31) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.44% ( 0.7) | 48.55% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.36% ( 0.5) | 83.63% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
| 2-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.32)4-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.36)5-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.07)6-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.14)5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.72% Total : 82.03% | 1-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.78% Total : 11.7% | 1-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.44% Total : 6.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 17 | 51 | 71 |
| 2 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 |
| 3 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 58 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 45 |
| 6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
| 8 | Vizela | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 39 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 33 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 25 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 17 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
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