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We said: Manchester United 2-1 Southampton

Very rarely do Southampton end a game having failed to score and managed to keep a clean sheet, but putting in similar levels of effort at Old Trafford will be a tough ask for Hasenhuttl's side after giving everything they had and more against Tottenham. There ought to have been some stern words in the Man United dressing room in midweek, but with the reintroduction of Ronaldo and some more potential rotation in the final third, Rangnick's side will hope to shade a close contest and reignite their top-four pursuit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawSouthampton
65.75%19.02%15.24%
Both teams to score 55.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.05%37.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.79%60.21%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.22%10.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.21%34.79%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.26%37.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.48%74.52%
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 65.74%
    Southampton 15.24%
    Draw 19.02%
Manchester UnitedDrawSouthampton
2-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 9.84%
1-0 @ 9.06%
3-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 7.3%
4-0 @ 4.18%
4-1 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-2 @ 1.98%
5-0 @ 1.86%
5-1 @ 1.81%
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 65.74%
1-1 @ 8.83%
2-2 @ 4.79%
0-0 @ 4.07%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.02%
1-2 @ 4.3%
0-1 @ 3.96%
0-2 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.56%
1-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 15.24%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal27213362253766
2Manchester CityMan City27194467254261
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd2615564135650
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs27153949371248
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle251111337181944
6Liverpool26126847291842
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton24116745311439
8Fulham27116103837139
9Brentford2591154033738
10Chelsea2610792726137
11Aston Villa26105113239-735
12Crystal Palace2669112133-1227
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2776142037-1727
14Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2668122147-2626
15Everton2767142038-1825
16Leicester CityLeicester2673163746-924
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham2666142434-1024
18Bournemouth2666142551-2624
19Leeds UnitedLeeds2658133142-1123
20Southampton2664162041-2122
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