MX23RW : Saturday, March 18 19:54:15
SM
Saturday, March 18
Feb 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Spurs
2 - 3
Southampton
Bednarek (18' og.), Heung-min (70')
Sanchez (59'), Romero (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Broja (23'), Elyounoussi (79'), Adams (82')
Perraud (76'), Romeu (77'), Forster (84')

We said: Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Southampton

Tottenham's affinity for goals at home coupled with Southampton's inability to keep the back door shut on the road makes it difficult to envisage Hasenhuttl's men making their midweek trip to the capital worthwhile. Conte will stress the message to his players that dropped points in games such as this one is simply not an option if they want to remain in the driving seat for a top-four place, so we can only back Spurs to prevail comfortably here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawSouthampton
71.6%17.15%11.25%
Both teams to score 50.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08%38.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.77%61.23%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.4%9.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.91%32.08%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.61%44.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.56%80.44%
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 71.6%
    Southampton 11.25%
    Draw 17.15%
Tottenham HotspurDrawSouthampton
2-0 @ 11.7%
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.5%
3-0 @ 9.14%
3-1 @ 7.43%
4-0 @ 5.36%
4-1 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.02%
5-0 @ 2.51%
5-1 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.77%
6-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 71.6%
1-1 @ 8.11%
0-0 @ 4.26%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 17.15%
0-1 @ 3.46%
1-2 @ 3.29%
0-2 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 11.25%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal27213362253766
2Manchester CityMan City27194467254261
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd2615564135650
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs28154952401249
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle261211339192047
6Liverpool26126847291842
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton25126746311542
8Brentford27101254334942
9Fulham27116103837139
10Chelsea2710892928138
11Aston Villa27115113539-438
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2876152241-1927
13Crystal Palace2769122134-1327
14Leeds UnitedLeeds2768133544-926
15Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2768132249-2726
16Everton2868142240-1826
17Leicester CityLeicester2774163847-925
18Bournemouth2766152554-2924
19West Ham UnitedWest Ham2666142434-1024
20Southampton2865172346-2323
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