Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
