Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 12.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
