Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 9-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
