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Wednesday, December 21

We said: Burnley 1-2 Manchester United

This is a huge football match for both sides, and it is a tough one to call. Burnley will believe that they can cause a wounded Man United problems, but the Red Devils are on a strong run in the Premier League, and we believe that the visitors will navigate their way to an important three points at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 21.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawManchester United
21.12%23.18%55.7%
Both teams to score 52.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.94%47.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.7%69.3%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.47%36.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.69%73.31%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27%16.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.36%46.64%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 21.12%
    Manchester United 55.69%
    Draw 23.18%
BurnleyDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 6.15%
2-1 @ 5.54%
2-0 @ 3.1%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.66%
3-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 21.12%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 10.92%
1-2 @ 9.84%
0-2 @ 9.77%
1-3 @ 5.86%
0-3 @ 5.82%
2-3 @ 2.95%
1-4 @ 2.62%
0-4 @ 2.6%
2-4 @ 1.32%
1-5 @ 0.94%
0-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 55.69%

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