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Apr 24, 2022 at 2pm UK at Stade Saint-Symphorien
Metz
0 - 1
Brest

N'Doram (14'), Jemerson (35'), Kouyate (37'), Delaine (74')
Jemerson (78'), Oukidja (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Belaili (27')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 1-2 Brest

Having failed to win several matches against direct rivals, Metz are effectively at the point of no return, and they will need to play on the front foot on Sunday. Nevertheless, Brest are seemingly ending the campaign on a high, and we are backing the visitors to run out the victors in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
MetzDrawBrest
30.48%26.4%43.12%
Both teams to score 51.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89%53.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.32%74.69%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59%68.42%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.57%24.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.14%58.86%
Score Analysis
    Metz 30.48%
    Brest 43.12%
    Draw 26.4%
MetzDrawBrest
1-0 @ 8.91%
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.81%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 11%
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-2 @ 7.75%
1-3 @ 4.16%
0-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 43.12%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lorient 1-0 Metz
Wednesday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-1 Clermont
Sunday, April 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bordeaux 3-1 Metz
Sunday, April 10 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 6-1 Metz
Sunday, March 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-0 Lens
Sunday, March 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Lyon
Wednesday, April 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 2-1 Brest
Saturday, April 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Brest
Sunday, April 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-0 Brest
Sunday, March 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-4 Marseille
Sunday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG220010286
2Lille21105234
3Toulouse21104134
4Lens21103214
5MonacoMonaco21103214
6Marseille11004133
7Lyon11002113
8Lorient11001013
9Montpellier HSCMontpellier210157-23
10Clermont210147-33
11Angers20202202
12Nice20202202
13NantesNantes20201102
14StrasbourgStrasbourg201123-11
15Ajaccio201112-11
16Rennes201112-11
17Auxerre201136-31
18Brest100123-10
19Troyes200226-40
20Reims200238-50
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