We said: Monaco 2-0 Brest
Brest certainly have Monaco's number when it comes to fixtures on their own patch, but getting a result against Les Monegasques - who will out for vengeance - away from home is not their speciality.
Clement's side cannot expect to break their opponents down at will, but the merciless hosts should still get the job done with professionalism to remain in the driving seat for Champions League football ahead of the final day.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result |
| Monaco | Draw | Brest |
67.41% ( 0) | 19.35% ( -0) | 13.23% |
| Both teams to score 48.89% ( -0) |
