Montpellier's record in this fixture certainly speaks for itself, but with so many defenders unavailable through either injury or suspension, their chances of another clean sheet are slim.
However, the return of Mavididi to an eye-catching front four will give the Paillade attack an added dimension, and we are backing Dall'Oglio to come out on top against his former club as Der Zakarian endures a miserable return to the Mosson.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
