SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
| 11 | Brest | 38 | -8 | 48 |
| 12 | Reims | 38 | -1 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Brest had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Marseille |
| 24.63% | 24.02% | 51.34% |
| Both teams to score 54.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.06% | 46.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.82% | 69.18% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% | 33.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.15% | 69.85% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% | 18.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.64% | 49.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 6.7% 2-1 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 3.69% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.38% Total : 24.64% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 8.77% 1-3 @ 5.47% 0-3 @ 4.97% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 2.11% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 36 | 27 | 3 | 6 | 86 | 36 | 50 | 84 |
| 2 | Lens | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 62 | 28 | 34 | 78 |
| 3 | Marseille | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 37 | 29 | 73 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 65 |
| 5 | Lille | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 63 |
| 6 | Rennes | 36 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 62 |
| 7 | Lyon | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 59 |
| 8 | Clermont | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 53 |
| 9 | Nice | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 52 |
| 10 | Lorient | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 36 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 44 |
| 14 | Brest | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 36 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 36 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 15 |
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