SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Marseille |
60.13% ( 0.18) | 22.28% ( -0.05) | 17.6% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( -0.01) | 48.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( -0.01) | 70.32% ( 0.01) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.4% ( 0.06) | 15.6% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.42% ( 0.1) | 44.58% ( -0.1) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.99% ( -0.16) | 41.01% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.44% ( -0.14) | 77.56% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.12% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.27% | 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 17.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 11 | 23 | 30 |
| 2 | Nice | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Lille | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Reims | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 23 |
| 6 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Brest | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | NantesNantes | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 | Le HavreLe Havre | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Metz | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
| 11 | Rennes | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 15 |
| 12 | Marseille | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Lorient | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Clermont | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 10 |
| 18 | Lyon | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 7 |
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