In what will be a closely-fought game that could definitely go either way, we just give the edge to the visitors.
Nantes have more to play for in the final run of the season, and they will hope to give their unlikely top-six bid another boost with a three-point haul.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
