SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 33.84% | 23.74% | 42.42% |
| Both teams to score 61.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.83% | 40.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.46% | 62.54% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% | 23.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.52% | 57.48% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.75% | 19.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.04% | 50.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% 1-0 @ 6.55% 2-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 4.52% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-1 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 3.37% 1-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.31% Total : 42.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 20 | 35 | 54 |
| 2 | Marseille | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 49 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 47 |
| 4 | Lens | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 46 |
| 5 | Rennes | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 40 |
| 6 | Lille | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 38 |
| 7 | Nice | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Lorient | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Lyon | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 32 |
| 10 | Reims | 22 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Clermont | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 30 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 29 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 25 |
| 14 | Brest | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 15 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 20 |
| 16 | Troyes | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 19 |
| 17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 18 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 18 |
| 19 | Auxerre | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 14 |
| 20 | Angers | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 47 | -29 | 9 |
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