The hosts will be determined to bounce back and make amends for their last showing, but realistically they now have very little to play for in these final three games. That, combined with Monaco's current form, should see Les Monegasques edge what should still be a tight game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match.
