SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Reims | 38 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 38 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 1-3 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
15.14% ( -0) | 17.92% ( -0.01) | 66.94% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.22% ( 0) | 32.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.53% ( 0.01) | 54.46% ( -0.01) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% ( -0) | 34.56% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.72% ( -0) | 71.27% ( -0) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.93% ( -0) | 9.07% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.16% ( 0) | 30.83% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.33% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.77% 3-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.49% Total : 15.14% | 1-1 @ 7.99% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.13% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.92% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.03% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.68% ( -0)0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.22% ( -0)1-4 @ 4.61% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.34% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.45% ( -0)1-5 @ 2.21% 0-5 @ 2.08% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.18% Other @ 4.96% Total : 66.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 52 | 16 | 36 | 51 |
| 2 | Marseille | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 46 |
| 3 | Lens | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 45 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 41 |
| 5 | Rennes | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 40 |
| 6 | Lille | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 35 |
| 7 | Lorient | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 35 |
| 8 | Nice | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 |
| 9 | Clermont | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Lyon | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 29 |
| 11 | Reims | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 20 |
| 15 | Brest | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 19 |
| 16 | Troyes | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 19 |
| 17 | Ajaccio | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 15 |
| 19 | Auxerre | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 13 |
| 20 | Angers | 21 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 47 | -29 | 8 |
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